Vincent Deluard: French Bond Crisis, Bitcoin Outlook, and Market Risks
StoneX strategist Vincent Deluard warns of rising Treasury yields, bullish on Bitcoin and gold post-midterms.
Canada's economy lost 41,700 jobs in August, far below the 15,000 gain expected, while the unemployment rate held at 6.4%.
Figures for August have been released:
The August employment data from Canada came in softer than anticipated. Payrolls dropped by 41.7K, sharply under the projected increase of 15.0K, as both full-time and part-time roles saw cuts. Full-time positions fell by 35.9K and part-time roles decreased by 5.8K.
Even with the drop in hiring, the jobless rate held steady at 6.4%, meeting expectations. That outcome was partially due to the participation rate edging down to 65.0% from 65.1%, indicating fewer individuals were searching for work.
Wage growth also decelerated noticeably. Permanent employees' average hourly earnings climbed only 2.0% compared with a year earlier, slowing from 3.0% in the previous month and missing the 3.0% forecast. Overall, the report signals a softening Canadian labour market, characterised by declining employment, weaker labour-force involvement and easing wage pressures. That mix should lessen the urgency for the Bank of Canada to tighten policy and represents a negative factor for the Canadian dollar. With the US jobs data pointing to greater strength, USD/CAD is trending higher.
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StoneX strategist Vincent Deluard warns of rising Treasury yields, bullish on Bitcoin and gold post-midterms.
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