Currency option expiries on radar for Oct 8 NY cut
Key FX option expiries for Oct 8 include EUR/USD at 1.1150 and USD/JPY at 158.00, with bond yields driving dollar sentiment.
USD/JPY rose 134 pips, briefly exceeding 155.00, as intervention-related short-covering unwound and yen shorts cleared, with the Treasury Secretary's "house"…
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent challenged the market to bet against him, claiming he possessed asymmetric information and that he was now the "house" in the game.
Yet his influence only extends over the US portion of the equation, and even there, his grip on the long end is weak. While fiscal policy has been reckless for years, the military dimension poses a larger concern. President Trump is now urging Ukraine to refrain from striking Russian oil refineries, while Iran-aligned factions have tightened their hold on Middle Eastern crude supplies and forced US installations in the region to shut down.
Given this backdrop, the "house" finds itself largely unable to curb market volatility.
On Monday, USD/JPY advanced 134 pips and briefly traded above 155.00, as the pullback from the latest intervention effort and short-covering faded. Fresh positioning figures also indicate that yen short positions have mostly been unwound, leaving little room for additional squeezes.
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Key FX option expiries for Oct 8 include EUR/USD at 1.1150 and USD/JPY at 158.00, with bond yields driving dollar sentiment.
EUR/GBP has fallen to its lowest since June 2025, adding to signs of euro weakness amid France's fiscal troubles and broader market concerns.
USDCHF traded above its 100- and 200-hour moving averages near 0.83291, but buyers still lack strong upside momentum.
USDCAD bounced off the 200-hour MA and crossed back above the 100-hour MA, keeping the uptrend intact.