Firms' pricing plans at highest since May as NZ confidence ticks up to +53
ANZ's October business survey showed confidence at +53, pricing intentions at their highest since May, and services export expectations at a 25-year peak.
Fed held rates at 3.75%-4.00%. Warsh reduces rate-setting meetings starting 2027. Two officials dissented for a hike.
On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh kept the benchmark rate at 3.75% to 4.00%. He announced that the central bank will reduce the number of meetings where rates are set, beginning in 2027 with one meeting that will not include a rate vote.
In 2027, just seven of the Fed's eight gatherings will decide on rates; for 2028, Warsh anticipates six out of eight. Cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin (BTC) and other assets sensitive to interest rates may encounter fewer regular catalysts.
According to Warsh, a meeting devoted solely to strategy would allow FOMC members space to discuss longer-term issues.
These strategy sessions would not produce a policy statement or a vote on the central bank's target federal funds rate.
He contended that the schedule itself holds significance.
βI believe the setting of the meeting schedule and agenda is more than some administrative detail.β
Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve chair, in comments carried by CNBC
Since 1981, the Fed has traditionally held eight meetings each year, with four being the lowest possible number.
The decision to hold rates was not unanimous. Fed Governor Lisa Cook and another policymaker voted for a rate increase, resulting in a 10-2 vote. Dissenting for a hike
Warsh stated that first-half growth projections increased to 2.4% from 1.8%, and inflation has remained above target for nearly six years, as Reuters reported.
He indicated that fresh data in the next few weeks will refine the decision on a December rate increase. Morgan Stanley had previously cautioned that the hold does not conclude the hiking cycle.
As traders debate a possible December rate increase, a reduced number of decision days could amplify the impact of each vote. However, this interpretation loses force if strategy meetings still shift expectations, even though Warsh stated he does not anticipate policy choices from those sessions.
Separately, Warsh informed journalists that politics did not influence the decision, according to Reuters. Elections determining control of Congress take place on Nov. 3.
For more than a year, President Donald Trump has sought to remove Cook. The White House has set a possible proceeding against her for Nov. 5.
Consequently, a leaner calendar might compress the discussion about rate increases into a smaller number of votes. Meanwhile, the White House continues to pressure against hikes, putting the Fed's independence at risk.
Share to
Disclaimer: this article comes from third-party media and is provided for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto and other financial products carry significant price volatility risk, so please make your own decisions carefully.
ANZ's October business survey showed confidence at +53, pricing intentions at their highest since May, and services export expectations at a 25-year peak.
The Chinese brokerage holds to a 25bp Fed hike in December, sees the terminal rate near current levels, and expects Middle East tensions to keep oil elevated.
HKMA holds base rate at 4.25% after Fed decision. Peg means Hong Kong imports US rate policy.
The Fed held rates at 3.75%-4% in a 10-2 vote, with Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissenting for a hike; December is now in focus.