UBS: Fed hike bets overdone, three forces may calm Treasury market
UBS says markets have overpriced Fed hikes and outlines three catalysts—disinflation, energy flows, and policy—that could steady Treasuries.
UBS says markets have overpriced Fed hikes and outlines three catalysts—disinflation, energy flows, and policy—that could steady Treasuries.
US dollar broadly firmer; USD/JPY dropped 50 pips then rallied to finish higher; crude oil rose on geopolitical headlines.
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the central bank must raise rates by at least half a percentage point to achieve policy restriction and control inflation.
Goldman Sachs delayed its forecast for the next Fed rate hike to December from October after softer inflation and dovish Fed comments.
BofA reiterates a $5,000 gold outlook for 2027 but warns oil, yields and fragile ETF positioning could push prices toward $3,750 first.
Fed's Cook said supply shocks are becoming more policy-relevant and named AI as top 2027 risk, noting near-term inflation from buildout.
This article previews the September non-farm payrolls report, including consensus estimates and seasonal trends.
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said the central bank may take more time to decide on rates, emphasizing data-dependence. He noted inflation above target and…
Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid said rising long-term rates are straining housing and commercial lending, while other officials discussed AI's impact.
In a TIME interview, Trump said the US could step up bombing of Iran after midterms if talks fail, as the conflict has cost over $25 billion.
The US dollar hit a three-month high as Treasury yields surged, with EUR/USD breaking below key support near 1.1300.
Ethereum remains range-bound due to macro headwinds and US-Iran tensions. Technical levels and upcoming catalysts are key.
10-year Treasury yields rose to 5.33%, highest since 2007, pressuring stocks.
Yen slides on hawkish BOJ signals; Nikkei leads Asian markets higher on tech results and trade news.
Oura delayed its planned $15 billion Nasdaq IPO, citing market volatility and rising rates, despite oversubscribed demand.