Little impact from FX option expiries seen on 5 October
No significant FX option expiries are near spot levels, leaving trading focused on macro factors and persistently high bond yields after a soft US jobs report.
No significant FX option expiries are near spot levels, leaving trading focused on macro factors and persistently high bond yields after a soft US jobs report.
Markets await September payrolls with Fed pricing at 7.1 bps and oil down on European reserve release talk.
September saw dollar strength, peso and AUD/NZD weakness, ruble and yen gains. October outlook focuses on Fed, BoJ, oil, and trade talks.
Dollar weakness pushed USDJPY and USDCHF below hourly moving averages, while USDCAD's pullback brought its trendline into focus.
USD/JPY suddenly dipped at an unusual time, sparking speculation of intervention or a fat finger error.
Dollar index climbs to three-month high; EURUSD dips below 1.1300 as Treasury yields remain elevated.
China's markets are closed from October 1–7 for Golden Week, leaving offshore yuan and Hong Kong equities to drive price discovery until October 8.
On September's final day, the dollar was mixed, Treasury yields slipped and Middle East oil supply worries eased, leaving stock futures without a clear…
UBS sees USD/JPY sell signal in month-end rebalancing; BofA flags yen and pound selling. Caution urged on sudden FX moves.
The RBA lifted its cash rate to 4.60% as expected, but the Australian dollar fell and the U.S. dollar advanced against most major currencies.
USD/INR stays supported by higher oil prices, but a US-Iran deal could trigger a sharp selloff in the pair.
Reuters estimates the PBOC will set the USD/CNY midpoint at 6.7177, a key signal for forex markets.
NAB expects the RBA to hike 25bp to 4.60% and warns that while this may support AUD near-term, Australia could be among the first G10 central banks to cut.
Japan's top currency diplomat Mimura reaffirmed a strong currency alliance with the US, keeping intervention on the table as the yen strengthens.
Upcoming week includes RBA rate decision, Canadian GDP, Australian CPI, US PCE and jobs data, and eurozone inflation figures.