Goldman sees yen, Nikkei risk from faster BOJ rate path
Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of Japan to hike this week and accelerate tightening, boosting yen but pressuring Nikkei.
Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of Japan to hike this week and accelerate tightening, boosting yen but pressuring Nikkei.
The BOJ is set to raise rates by 25bp next week, but the central bank gives no clear signal on further hikes, leaving markets focused on pace and terminal rate.
Japan's wholesale inflation stayed hot in August, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise rates next week.
Treasury Secretary Bessent claims inside knowledge on yen policy, stoking questions about BOJ independence and market risks.
Factory confidence in Japan hit near five-year high in September Reuters Tankan, driven by chip demand; manufacturers index reached +21.
The yen hit a six-month high against the dollar as BOJ hike bets built, while China's August imports missed forecasts and the Kospi gained nearly 2%.
Japan's real wages rose 2.4% in July, seventh straight gain, while nominal pay hit 4.7%, fastest since 1997, supporting BOJ rate hike.
USDJPY dropped 1.15% as yen strengthened on BOJ rate hike bets. Geopolitical tensions pushed oil prices higher. EUR and GBP fell modestly.
Japan's household spending fell 3.6% in July from a year earlier, the biggest drop since January 2024. A September BOJ hike remains almost fully priced in, atβ¦
The Japanese yen surged for a second straight day, with USD/JPY falling nearly 300 pips. WTI crude and gold also gained, while bond yields eased.
USD/JPY fell nearly 1% dropping back below 158 as yen strengthens on BOJ rate hike expectations and yield pullback.
Japan's services PMI hit 52.5 in August, supporting BOJ rate hike expectations amid sustained cost pressures.
USD mixed, stocks rise as Middle East tensions simmer. ADP data shows weak hiring ahead of Friday's payrolls report.