NAB survey shows business conditions at six-year low; currencies, ASX decline
NAB business conditions hit six-year low; ASX, AUD, NZD soften; RBA hike probability high.
NAB business conditions hit six-year low; ASX, AUD, NZD soften; RBA hike probability high.
Japan's Q2 GDP was revised up to 1.4% annualised, reinforcing expectations that the BOJ will hike to 1.25% on September 18.
Japan's revised Q2 GDP came in at 1.4% year-on-year, above the preliminary 1.1% estimate.
Japan's real wages rose 2.4% in July, seventh straight gain, while nominal pay hit 4.7%, fastest since 1997, supporting BOJ rate hike.
Japan's July 2026 average cash earnings rose 4.7% year-on-year, beating the 3.9% forecast, and real wages increased 2.4%.
UK retail sales growth slowed to 0.7% in August, the smallest increase since April, as the summer boost faded. Consumer confidence also dropped.
UBS retains a constructive gold view, positioning it as a portfolio hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks, and advises using price dips to build…
UBS expects two Fed rate hikes in 2025 after strong jobs data, maintaining a positive equity outlook driven by economic strength.
Goldman sees gold's pullback as a pause, with dips toward $4,000 an ounce a buying opportunity before the September FOMC.
Japan's Q2 GDP revision out today could sway BOJ September rate hike odds, currently at 80%.
Japan's GDP and China trade data due Tuesday; preliminary Q2 GDP missed expectations.
European stock benchmarks finished the session mixed, with energy shares supported by higher oil and bond yields climbing on rate concerns.
Oil may soon hit $100 again, threatening to reverse inflation progress and create a policy dilemma for central banks as the US-Iran conflict persists.
Strong NFP data raised rate hike expectations, sending the S&P 500 lower. Focus now on US CPI.
EUR/USD consolidates ahead of US CPI. Dollar spiked on NFP but focus remains on inflation. ECB likely to hike 25 bps.