Little impact from FX option expiries seen on 5 October
No significant FX option expiries are near spot levels, leaving trading focused on macro factors and persistently high bond yields after a soft US jobs report.
05/10/2026 06:255 min read
Treasury
Treasury yields stay key market focus despite weak payrolls
Despite a softer US jobs report, bond yields rebounded quickly, remaining the main market pressure point as traders eye inflation data and fiscal policy.
05/10/2026 05:229 min read
Strong Growth Buys Time for US Debt Despite High Yields
US 10-year yields above 5% and interest costs over $1 trillion, but 8.5% growth still outruns the 3.4% average debt rate, delaying a debt spiral.
05/10/2026 05:118 min read
Equities find footing as yields ease, but jobs data looms
Stocks rebound as Treasury yields ease from highs, but the upcoming US jobs report could reverse the calm.
02/10/2026 10:018 min read
30-Year TIPS Yield 3.35% as Equity Premium Shrinks
30-year TIPS yield 3.35% real, cutting stock premium to 1.65 points; Siegel says Fed needs two more hikes.
02/10/2026 02:428 min read
Treasury Hits $6B Buyback Cap as 10-Year Yield Touches 24-Year High
The Treasury used its full $6 billion buyback limit while the 10-year yield hit 5.342%, a 24-year high, and bitcoin traded at $84,624.
02/10/2026 02:129 min read
Trump: Inflation Could Help Reduce the $40 Trillion National Debt
Trump suggests inflation could reduce the national debt, while Cayman Islands hedge funds emerge as major Treasury buyers.
01/10/2026 15:429 min read
September ISM manufacturing gauge registers 54.5, trails 55.0 consensus
The ISM Manufacturing PMI for September came in at 54.5, below the 55.0 consensus estimate but near the prior month's 54.6.
01/10/2026 14:1723 min read
Record Hedge Fund Treasury Holdings: Basis Trade Unwind Risks
Hedge funds held a record 7% of US Treasurys at end-2025. Regulators warn that leveraged basis trades could amplify turmoil if they unwind.
01/10/2026 10:2610 min read
Layoffs decline in September, yet weak hiring keeps NFP in focus
US job cuts fell to 43,281 in September. Persistent weakness in hiring plans keeps focus on the NFP report.
01/10/2026 10:128 min read
Oura's $15B Nasdaq IPO Postponed Due to Market Conditions
Oura delayed its planned $15 billion Nasdaq IPO, citing market volatility and rising rates, despite oversubscribed demand.
01/10/2026 03:289 min read
US 30-year borrowing costs hit highest since 2002, darkening market sentiment
US 30-year yields hit a 22-year high of 5.61%. The rise, driven by inflation, AI capex, and fiscal deficits, darkens market sentiment and investment outlook.
29/09/2026 15:426 min read
US yield curve flattening points to tighter Fed policy, not recession: UBS
UBS says the flatter US yield curve reflects tighter Fed policy, not recession, pointing to resilient jobs and earnings.
29/09/2026 00:0420 min read
US 10-year yield tops 5.2% for first time since 2007 on auction weakness
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose above 5.2%, its highest since June 2007, driven by weak auction demand and expectations of tighter Fed policy.
28/09/2026 23:1214 min read
Treasury yields' next move may hinge on US jobs data
Friday's US jobs report could determine whether Treasury yields climb higher or fall back, with wages and hiring data also in focus.
28/09/2026 06:4210 min read