BoC's Macklem flags concern over sticky fuel margins, inflation outlook
BoC's Macklem says fuel margin normalization may take time, worrying for inflation. Q4 growth forecast cut to 0.75%.
Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
BoC's Macklem says fuel margin normalization may take time, worrying for inflation. Q4 growth forecast cut to 0.75%.
Trump and Bessent ramp up positive messaging on the economy, trade, and Iran as midterms approach.
BoC's Macklem warns US tariffs could halve Q4 growth to below 1%, while oil prices may lift inflation, creating a policy dilemma.
Oil falls 2.5% as risk appetite returns; Bitcoin hits $84,777, its highest since January.
S&P 500 rose after traders faded the initial overreaction to the Fed's decision, supported by hopes of Middle East de-escalation.
Fed's Goolsbee says persistent demand and supply shocks could prolong high inflation, reinforcing case for higher rates.
Opposition blocked or delayed 45 US data center projects worth $68B from April to June, with protests now spreading globally.
Wholesale gas price changes are now expected to feed into euro area consumer inflation more quickly, potentially reducing the time the ECB has to assess…
China has scheduled its fifth plenum for Oct 26-29 in Beijing; markets will watch for economic signals amid the Trump-Xi summit backdrop.
Markets rose, oil fell as Trump-Xi summit and Iran diplomacy take center stage.
Ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, China remains steady with record trade surplus, while markets expect only a truce extension, not a major deal.
Australia's big four banks forecast a 25bp RBA rate hike to 4.60% on September 28-29, differing on vote unanimity and follow-up path.
BofA reaffirms forecasts for Fed rate hikes in October and December, citing strong nominal spending, with risks flagged around persistent supply shocks.
Bessent called US-China talks 'very successful' as the Board of Trade became operational ahead of a Trump-Xi summit.
Based on historical patterns, the S&P 500 tends to dip after the Fed's first hike but recovers within a year, with bond yield speed as a key risk.