Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
Based on historical patterns, the S&P 500 tends to dip after the Fed's first hike but recovers within a year, with bond yield speed as a key risk.
Economists are raising neutral rate estimates for the Fed, ECB, and Japan, signaling higher long-term yields and less room for rate cuts.
China kept its one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged for the 16th straight month, as the Fed's rate hike limited policy space.
Stournaras leaves door open for October ECB rate hike if energy prices or inflation surge.
Minneapolis Fed's Kashkari said inflation is too high across the US economy, not just in oil, and supported the recent rate hike.
US stocks enter a week dominated by a 5% Treasury yield, a missile strike on Riyadh, Fed commentary, and a key Trump-Xi meeting.
Six Nobel laureates endorsed California's Proposition 40, a 5% wealth tax on billionaires, while Ripple's Chris Larsen spent over $10 million to oppose it.
Crypto markets fell over the weekend as Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia raised tensions, with Bitcoin dropping 0.9% and the total market cap down 4%.
Elon Musk predicts AI will double US GDP growth to 4% next year, a figure far above Fed projections. The forecast comes as California mandates AI audits and a…
US 10-year yields hit 5.01%, 2s highest since 2024; BOJ rate check after yen hits 158.05; bitcoin up 6% to $81K, ethereum up 7%.
Kansas City Fed's Schmid supports recent rate hike, citing inflation above 3% and broad-based price pressures, while noting the economy's strength outside…
US industrial production was flat in August, missing expectations, while manufacturing output fell 0.3%.
The BOJ hiked rates 25 bps to 1.25%, but dovish dissents disappointed markets. The yen weakened, stocks fell, and oil and bond yields remained elevated.
ECB President Lagarde says interest rates do not automatically follow energy prices, stressing a meeting-by-meeting approach.
ECB President Christine Lagarde said “we'll see” when asked whether she would leave in October 2027, keeping early-exit speculation alive.