Bond Yields Surge to Fresh Peaks: Seven Catalysts Behind the Rally
US long-dated bond yields hit new highs, with the 10-year at 5.35% and the 30-year at a 24-year peak of 5.72%. Seven drivers are fueling the bond rout.
Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
US long-dated bond yields hit new highs, with the 10-year at 5.35% and the 30-year at a 24-year peak of 5.72%. Seven drivers are fueling the bond rout.
Treasury yields hit multi-year highs, dragging stocks and gold lower while the dollar gains.
The 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.70% on Monday, its highest since 2002, while the 10-year yield neared 5.32%, pressuring gold and equities.
Sovereign yield spreads signal investor confidence and can impact currencies, equities, and central bank policy, even for those who don't trade bonds.
The US dollar has strengthened as Treasury yields near multi-decade highs, potentially tightening financial conditions without further Fed rate hikes.
Temasek's investment chief identified AI trade unwind and inflation as the biggest risks for global markets in 2027, while planning to boost AI allocation.
FOMC meeting minutes rarely move markets because they are published weeks after the decision, making them stale compared to newer Fed comments and data.
Today's $39 billion 10-year Treasury note auction may influence mortgage rates and the S&P 500.
August US trade deficit widened to $105.6 billion as imports climbed to a record $420.8 billion, undercutting the intended effect of tariffs.
US jobless claims data this week may show if weak hiring is turning into layoffs after a poor September payrolls report.
Australian households are weathering rate hikes better than expected, with debt-to-asset ratio at lowest since 1997, Deutsche Bank says.
The RBI is expected to raise the repo rate by 25bp to 5.50% today, though MUFG forecasts a hold. Decision at 10:00 am IST.
RBI is expected to hold the repo rate at 5.25% today, but MUFG sees this as temporary and forecasts hikes in December and February.
Two veteran bond bears now recommend long US Treasuries as yields top 5%, despite record losses.
Goldman Sachs believes the recent US Treasury selloff may be overdone, citing five drivers, but says a rally may require lower energy prices or weaker…