Logan Mohtashami on Housing, Bitcoin, and Rising Bond Yields
HousingWire analyst Logan Mohtashami discusses surging mortgage rates, rising bond yields, and the competition between Bitcoin and real estate.
Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
HousingWire analyst Logan Mohtashami discusses surging mortgage rates, rising bond yields, and the competition between Bitcoin and real estate.
Asia-Pacific markets see a quiet calendar on Wednesday, with an ECB board member speaking in the Philippines.
Spain's emergency housing decrees threaten property investors, boosting Bitcoin's appeal as an asset with unchangeable rules.
Kansas City Fed President Schmid says labor market is solid but more work needed on inflation. He supported September's rate hike.
The Treasury's $58B 3-year note auction yielded 4.932%, slightly below the when-issued level, with mixed demand.
San Francisco Fed's Mary Daly says more rate hikes depend on whether AI, tariff and energy shocks persist. Markets showed little reaction.
European markets saw improved risk sentiment as oil prices fell and bond yields declined. The OAT-Bund spread narrowed after a peak.
Canada's merchandise trade surplus widened to C$4.2 billion in August, beating expectations of C$1.55 billion, as exports rose and imports fell.
US trade deficit widened to $105.6 billion in August, as imports surged more than exports.
The French-German 10-year yield spread has broken out to crisis-era levels, raising concerns about euro area contagion as other spreads widen.
BOJ Governor Ueda said underlying inflation is nearing 2%, with markets pricing about 64% odds of a December hike.
The BOJ may signal in October that underlying inflation has roughly reached 2%, giving markets more reason to expect a December rate hike.
Analyst Benjamin Cowen expects the 10-year Treasury yield to peak before mid-November, potentially boosting Bitcoin and other risk assets.
10-year Treasury yields have risen above 5.30%, reaching their highest level since 2002, despite reduced bets on a Fed rate hike in October.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned that rising global bond yields will increase Australia's budget costs as cheap debt matures.