Widowmaker trade's lesson: Correct call on Japan yields fails without timing
The 'widowmaker' trade illustrates that correct market predictions fail without proper timing, as Japan's yields finally rose after decades.
The 'widowmaker' trade illustrates that correct market predictions fail without proper timing, as Japan's yields finally rose after decades.
Greenback rallies on Warsh's hawkish tone; USD/JPY dips but bias stays bullish.
USD/JPY fell to 159.60 after earlier reaching 160.40, its highest since 31 July, raising questions about possible Tokyo rate checks.
BOJ's Takata says the central bank should consider a broad range of policy options, not just gradual rate hikes of 0.25%.
Oil hit a near six-week high as US-Iran fighting continued. Central banks in Japan, New Zealand and Australia signaled more tightening.
BOJ hawk Takata says rate hikes must be nimble, flagging risks from energy prices and overseas rates that could push Japan's terminal rate higher than markets…
BOJ's Ueda indicates further rate hikes while cautioning on cumulative impact; Finance Minister Katayama monitors JGB yields.
Japanese bond yields hit multi-decade highs, pressuring yen carry trades and raising questions about Bitcoin's vulnerability to a stronger yen.
Bessent hints Japan must act after US intervention help, pushing BOJ and Takaichi on policy.
A senior MOF official stated that the BOJ sets policy independently, and confirmed that Katayama and Bessent discussed FX intervention and fiscal policy.
Japan and the US reaffirm cooperation on orderly yen moves at G20, but Tokyo avoids defining what orderly means.
Japan's manufacturing PMI rose to 54.9 in August; new orders saw sharpest growth in over 8 years, driven by AI and semiconductor demand.
Bessent met BOJ's Ueda and Japan's Katayama at G20, urged rate hikes. Yen strengthened on the remarks.
Japan's two-year bond yield reached a 31-year peak, making the yen carry trade costlier. Bitcoin trades at $79,087.
Yen weakens past 160 per dollar for first time since record $98.7 billion intervention, as Warsh's hawkish signals overshadow Bessent's reassurance.