Bullock warns Middle East-driven inflation risks now materialising
RBA Governor Bullock testified that inflation risks flagged in August are materialising, with Middle East conflict and AI boom pushing up prices.
RBA Governor Bullock testified that inflation risks flagged in August are materialising, with Middle East conflict and AI boom pushing up prices.
Japan's headline CPI came in at 1.9% y/y in August, below the 2.0% forecast. Core-core CPI also missed expectations at 1.7%.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock appears before parliament as markets assign a 70-75% probability to a rate hike at the September meeting.
Japan's August CPI data is due as the BoJ is widely expected to raise rates to 1.25%, with swaps pricing a near-certain hike.
Canada's August producer price index rose 1.3% m/m, up from 0.6%. Annual PPI increased 13.5%, and raw materials prices also surged.
US August housing starts at 1.275m missed estimation; permits also lower. Mortgage rates near 7%; relief may come after Iran war, if ever.
Eurozone annual inflation was revised down to 3.2% in August, with energy prices rising 14.3%.
Fed raises rates to 3.75%-4.00% unanimously; Warsh signals more hikes ahead, with markets pricing in a 90% chance of another move this year.
IMF warns RBA may hike again, citing inflation, urges Australian spending cuts; markets price ~80% chance of a September hike.
Trump demanded the Fed cut rates to 1% after Warsh raised them to 3.75-4%, threatening more hikes. Bitcoin and gold reacted.
The Fed raised rates by 25bps to 3.75%-4.00% unanimously and projected further hikes, signaling a higher-for-longer path.
Fed's Warsh said the economy looks to be strengthening, inflation remains too high, and the FOMC has not met the confidence bar on underlying inflation.
The Bank of Canada's Governing Council sees near-term inflation staying elevated, while markets anticipate over 100 basis points of rate hikes.
Kevin Warsh reduces signalling in the FOMC statement; a close vote could rock markets.
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model raised its Q3 growth estimate to 5.1% from 4.4% as consumer and government spending forecasts increased.