Prediction markets hit $188B record as Kalshi dominates, legal fights intensify
Prediction markets saw $188B in Q3 2026 volume, led by Kalshi; sports contracts spark legal disputes.
Prediction markets saw $188B in Q3 2026 volume, led by Kalshi; sports contracts spark legal disputes.
Kalshi is in advanced talks to raise $1 billion at a $40 billion valuation, nearly double its May figure.
Elon Musk endorsed a viral post predicting AGI by 2027, but traders on prediction markets still give OpenAI low odds of announcing AGI before then.
Kalshi's AI ad swapped an Asian YouTuber for a white actor, sparking outrage. Wash trading allegations add to its woes.
A Kalshi bot making repetitive trades on a Mamdani market has stopped, following wash trading allegations and analysis.
Kalshi faces claims of inflated crypto volume after $5,500 trades dominated its ether perp market, which it dismisses as confusion between products.
Kalshi prematurely settled a Michigan vs. Western Michigan market, paying $18.6M to the wrong side before a last-second touchdown, then reversed the payouts.
LeBron James partners with Polymarket, a prediction market platform, announcing a full reveal on Tuesday.
Kalshi will not allow betting on whether its legal dispute with New Jersey reaches the Supreme Court, citing principle.
Donald Trump Jr.'s venture firm 1789 Capital is investing $300 million in Polymarket, adding to his advisory role and equity in rival Kalshi.
Kalshi suspended GOP candidate Laurie Buckhout for three years for betting on her own race, with a fine exceeding her wager.